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The European Central Bank predicts that the inflation rate will drop to 2% in the fourth quarter of 2025.The director of the Federal Aviation Administration will step down early on January 20th. On December 12th, local time, the Federal Aviation Administration said that the director of the Federal Aviation Administration, Mike Whitaker, will step down after President-elect Trump took office on January 20th. It is reported that Whitaker was confirmed for a five-year term in October 2023. In addition, Katie Thomson, deputy director of the Federal Aviation Administration of the United States, will step down on January 10th, and Mark House, assistant director of finance and management of the agency, will be the senior acting official of the agency during the transition period.Trump rang the opening bell at the NYSE, and US President-elect Donald Trump rang the opening bell at the new york Stock Exchange on Thursday. On that day, he was named "Person of the Year" twice by Time magazine. It is reported that he is the first president-elect to "ring the bell" on the New York Stock Exchange after Ronald Reagan.

British Prime Minister Stamer met with the President of the European Council for the first time to confirm his intention to strengthen cooperation. According to the announcement issued by the British Prime Minister's Office, British Prime Minister Stamer met with the President of the European Council antonio costa in Downing Street on the afternoon of December 12th local time. The British Prime Minister's Office said that this was the first meeting between the two men, and the two sides confirmed their intention to strengthen the relationship between Britain and the EU. The British Prime Minister's Office also stated that Costa invited Stamer to attend the informal meeting of EU leaders held in Brussels on February 3, 2025. Stamer was pleased to accept the invitation and looked forward to discussing with the EU how to strengthen strategic cooperation, especially in national defense.Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has regained consciousness after undergoing head surgery again. At present, the situation is stable. On the morning of 12th local time, Brazilian President Lula underwent head surgery again in the Syrian-Lebanese hospital in Sao Paulo, the largest city in the country, to prevent further intracranial hemorrhage. The reporter from the General Station learned from the press conference held by the hospital that Lula had recovered after the operation and was in a stable condition, so he could talk with the medical staff. The medical team said that the operation, as part of the first treatment on the 10th, started at around 7: 00 on the 12th and lasted less than an hour. The medical staff said that the operation was successful and Lula needed further examination in the intensive care unit until the 13th. According to the current rehabilitation situation, the medical team assessed that Lula's discharge time was on the 16th or 17th of this month.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)

Russian officials: The failure of sanctions against Russia to achieve geopolitical goals will cost the EU 1.5 trillion euros. On the 12th local time, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Grushko said that Russia has adapted to various sanctions and will develop relations with all countries willing to cooperate. He said that the EU is on a road of self-destruction, and any geopolitical goal cannot be achieved through sanctions. If the EU wants to refuse cooperation with Russia, this is the EU's choice, but most assessments show that this choice has caused the EU to suffer a loss of 1.5 trillion euros.The European Central Bank predicts that the inflation rate will drop to 2% in the fourth quarter of 2025.Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 1%, popular Chinese stock Yum! China rose by 2.8%, bilibili and Baidu rose by over 1.2%, Ali, New Oriental, Ideality, Pinduoduo and Netease rose by at most 1%, and YINN rose by 1.6%.